A third Trump impeachment looks inevitable, but what kind?

With the primary elections concluding and the general election campaign season now in full swing, analysts widely expect Republicans to lose their slim House majority. Projections from prominent statistical models suggest Democrats have a strong likelihood of taking control, though the race remains competitive in key districts. The shift could reshape legislative priorities as the party balance tilts ahead of the November vote. Voters will closely watch how tight margins play out in the final stretch.

As the final primaries wrap up and we head into the full gale of the general election campaign season, the consensus is that Republicans are all but certain to lose their very narrow House majority. If you ask Nate Silver and his team, they’ll say there’s an 86 percent chance of Democratic control with the...