A new economic analysis reveals that the majority of potential tax policy changes could lead to financial losses for the state, driven by wealthy residents relocating in response. Researchers examined multiple scenarios and found that negative revenue outcomes were likely in 85 percent of cases where high-net-worth individuals moved away. The findings suggest a direct link between tax adjustments and outmigration, raising concerns about long-term fiscal stability. Critics argue the study underscores the need for careful policy planning to balance revenue goals with economic incentives for affluent taxpayers.


New study finds that 85 percent of "plausible scenarios" result in negative revenue for the state as wealthy residents flee.