The uneasy stalemate between Iran and the West—neither at war nor at peace—has turned into a strategic advantage for Washington, its oil industry, and Israel. By keeping Iran contained without provoking a full-scale conflict, the United States can maintain favorable energy prices and secure its economic interests in the region. Meanwhile, Israel benefits from the continued pressure on Tehran, which limits Iran’s ability to expand its influence and support proxy forces. This delicate balance, however, risks becoming a tinderbox if diplomatic cracks widen or if Iran’s leadership decides to test the limits of its restraint.


The no-war, no-peace status quo with Iran increasingly benefits the US, its energy sector and its ally Israel.