Russia's Fortunes in Ukraine Continue to Wane: A Turning Point in the War? In a stark reversal of fortunes, Russia's military presence in Ukraine has been under increasing pressure in recent years, with Ukrainian forces now pushing deeper into Russian territory. Just over three years ago, analysts predicted that Russia's ultimate defeat in Ukraine was only a matter of time, and it appears that prediction is finally coming to fruition. Ukraine's military has made significant strides in recent months, with deep-strike drones and cross-border raids targeting Russian strongholds and infrastructure. As the tide of the war continues to shift, many are left wondering if Russia's military is on the brink of collapse, and what this could mean for the future of the conflict.
Just over three years ago, we assessed that it was no longer a question of whether Russia loses in Ukraine, but only when. At that time, Ukrainian deep-strike drones were just beginning to threaten the Russian interior, and Ukraine's army was backing a cross-border raid into the Belgorod Oblast. As it still is today, the Russian Army was...