With just 30 days until the midterm elections, Democrats maintain a narrow advantage in key Senate races while holding a stronger lead in House contests, according to polling data. Analysts are weighing in on the reliability of current surveys as vote preferences continue to shift. Meanwhile, tensions escalate between oil companies and local governments over energy production regulations. In Russia, military strikes have intensified, marking a significant escalation in the conflict.


In today's issue: ▪ 30 days away from midterms ▪ Hassett’s hot take on polling ▪ Oil companies v. localities ▪ Moscow ramps up strikes Sunday marked 30 days until Election Day. Democrats are favored to win the House and have a slight edge in the Senate, according to The Hill’s partner Decision Desk HQ...