Major swing districts where Trump outperformed the national average by a significant margin in 2024 are emerging as critical battlegrounds in the fight for House control, according to an analysis by NPR. Both major parties are pouring substantial resources into these races, recognizing their potential to shift the balance of power in Congress. The focus on these narrowly decided contests highlights how razor-thin margins could determine which party gains the majority. Voters in these districts may hold the key to the next two years of legislative leadership.
Both parties are spending heavily in roughly 60 House districts — where Trump won by an average of nine points in 2024 — that could be key to deciding control of the chamber, an NPR analysis finds.